There are global forces of change that are and will affect businesses and the resulting job market over the next 40 years including: a global balance of power shift from West to East and North to South; resources and practices are protected (not open to all); increased connectedness due to tech with instant global communities; earth with changing climate/fewer natural resources; move to transparency (social media where your business is everybody’s business); and a shift and focus on values with the decline of blind consumerism.
The Hot List
What’s key to sustained employment? People skills that machines can’t copy (e.g. during the second week in February 2014, it was reported that Facebook had more than 170 sales related positions open, which was almost twice as many openings as software engineers). Recently, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) updated a report where it expects the most job growth by 2022 (see Tables 1.3). Top 10 areas for expansion include two that are customer facing: retail sales and customer service, as well as four health-care sectors in which basic people skills such as empathy are critical.
People with skills that are in demand will be appreciated by the market. The rub is that many of these skilled positions are in areas where companies are already experiencing a shortage of qualified labor: technology, health care and other key sectors. Locally, we have observed increases in hiring for the following: sales, logistics, and staffing part-time positions, call centers, manufacturing, construction, biomedical engineer, pharmacy, long-term care, and home care.
The Not List
The U.S. job market will not be better for everyone, with labor-market disruptions brought on by new technologies; self-driving cars, robotics, online commerce, and transfer of jobs overseas. The BLS also updated its report for the fields where it expects the most decline by 2022 (see Table 1.5). Nationally, for tree-fellers, shoemakers, and postal clerks, 30 percent of these jobs may disappear. Locally, the gaming jobs that were lost during the recession have not returned, and although construction growth has been strong, we are not at the numbers of jobs represented before 2009.
Employers, take a look at your strategic planning including flexibility in your vision given global trends and how you will leverage them to your advantage, and be willing to train, mentor, and create the learning environment needed for the skills sets you require.
Employees, be flexible about your career choices and assumptions given the global trends; be willing to have training; be open to a mentor so you can always be “teachable”; and embrace the learning environment needed for the skills sets your desired job requires.
Written by Jim Annis, President/CEO of The Applied Companies, which provide HR solutions for today’s workplace. Celeste Johnson, Tom Miller, and Suzanne Chennault, Applied’s division directors, contributed to this article.
|
Table 1.3 Fastest growing occupations, 2012 and projected 2022 |
||||||
|
2012 National Employment Matrix title and code |
Employment |
Change, 2012—22 |
Median annual wage, 2012 (1) |
|||
|
2012 |
2022 |
Number |
Percent |
|||
|
Total, All Occupations |
00-0000 |
145,355.8 |
160,983.7 |
15,628.0 |
10.8 |
$34,750 |
|
Industrial-organizational psychologists |
19-3032 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
53.4 |
$83,580 |
|
Personal care aides |
39-9021 |
1,190.6 |
1,771.4 |
580.8 |
48.8 |
$19,910 |
|
Home health aides |
31-1011 |
875.1 |
1,299.3 |
424.2 |
48.5 |
$20,820 |
|
Insulation workers, mechanical |
47-2132 |
28.9 |
42.4 |
13.5 |
46.7 |
$39,170 |
|
Interpreters and translators |
27-3091 |
63.6 |
92.9 |
29.3 |
46.1 |
$45,430 |
|
Diagnostic medical sonographers |
29-2032 |
58.8 |
85.9 |
27.0 |
46.0 |
$65,860 |
|
Helpers–brickmasons, blockmasons, stonemasons, and tile and marble setters |
47-3011 |
24.4 |
34.9 |
10.5 |
43.0 |
$28,220 |
|
Occupational therapy assistants |
31-2011 |
30.3 |
43.2 |
12.9 |
42.6 |
$53,240 |
|
Genetic counselors |
29-9092 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
0.9 |
41.2 |
$56,800 |
|
Physical therapist assistants |
31-2021 |
71.4 |
100.7 |
29.3 |
41.0 |
$52,160 |
|
Physical therapist aides |
31-2022 |
50.0 |
70.1 |
20.1 |
40.1 |
$23,880 |
|
Skincare specialists |
39-5094 |
44.4 |
62.0 |
17.7 |
39.8 |
$28,640 |
|
Physician assistants |
29-1071 |
86.7 |
120.0 |
33.3 |
38.4 |
$90,930 |
|
Segmental pavers |
47-4091 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
0.7 |
38.1 |
$33,720 |
|
Helpers–electricians |
47-3013 |
60.8 |
83.3 |
22.4 |
36.9 |
$27,670 |
|
Information security analysts |
15-1122 |
75.1 |
102.5 |
27.4 |
36.5 |
$86,170 |
|
Occupational therapy aides |
31-2012 |
8.4 |
11.4 |
3.0 |
36.2 |
$26,850 |
|
Health specialties teachers, postsecondary |
25-1071 |
190.0 |
258.6 |
68.6 |
36.1 |
$81,140 |
|
Medical secretaries |
43-6013 |
525.6 |
714.9 |
189.2 |
36.0 |
$31,350 |
|
Physical therapists |
29-1123 |
204.2 |
277.7 |
73.5 |
36.0 |
$79,860 |
|
Orthotists and prosthetists |
29-2091 |
8.5 |
11.5 |
3.0 |
35.5 |
$62,670 |
|
Brickmasons and blockmasons |
47-2021 |
71.0 |
96.2 |
25.2 |
35.5 |
$46,440 |
|
Nursing instructors and teachers, postsecondary |
25-1072 |
67.8 |
91.8 |
24.0 |
35.4 |
$64,850 |
|
Nurse practitioners |
29-1171 |
110.2 |
147.3 |
37.1 |
33.7 |
$89,960 |
|
Audiologists |
29-1181 |
13.0 |
17.3 |
4.3 |
33.6 |
$69,720 |
|
Dental hygienists |
29-2021 |
192.8 |
256.9 |
64.2 |
33.3 |
$70,210 |
|
Meeting, convention, and event planners |
13-1121 |
94.2 |
125.4 |
31.3 |
33.2 |
$45,810 |
|
Therapists, all other |
29-1129 |
28.8 |
37.9 |
9.1 |
31.7 |
$53,210 |
|
Market research analysts and marketing specialists |
13-1161 |
415.7 |
547.2 |
131.5 |
31.6 |
$60,300 |
|
Substance abuse and behavioral disorder counselors |
21-1011 |
89.6 |
117.7 |
28.2 |
31.4 |
$38,520 |
|
Footnotes: |
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|
Table 1.5 Fastest declining occupations, 2012 and projected 2022 |
|||||||
|
2012 National Employment Matrix title and code |
Employment |
Change, 2012—22 |
Median annual wage, 2012 (1) |
||||
|
2012 |
2022 |
Number |
Percent |
||||
|
Total, All Occupations |
00-0000 |
145,355.8 |
160,983.7 |
15,628.0 |
10.8 |
$34,750 |
|
|
Fallers |
45-4021 |
6.6 |
3.8 |
-2.9 |
-43.3 |
$35,250 |
|
|
Locomotive firers |
53-4012 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
-0.7 |
-42.0 |
$44,920 |
|
|
Shoe machine operators and tenders |
51-6042 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
-1.2 |
-35.3 |
$24,310 |
|
|
Postal service clerks |
43-5051 |
66.9 |
45.7 |
-21.3 |
-31.8 |
$53,090 |
|
|
Log graders and scalers |
45-4023 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
-1.1 |
-31.6 |
$32,880 |
|
|
Postal service mail sorters, processors, and processing machine operators |
43-5053 |
129.6 |
91.0 |
-38.6 |
-29.8 |
$53,090 |
|
|
Semiconductor processors |
51-9141 |
21.3 |
15.5 |
-5.8 |
-27.1 |
$33,020 |
|
|
Textile cutting machine setters, operators, and tenders |
51-6062 |
15.5 |
11.3 |
-4.2 |
-27.1 |
$24,050 |
|
|
Postal service mail carriers |
43-5052 |
295.1 |
215.8 |
-79.2 |
-26.8 |
$56,490 |
|
|
Motion picture projectionists |
39-3021 |
8.0 |
5.8 |
-2.1 |
-26.5 |
$19,830 |
|
|
Sewing machine operators |
51-6031 |
161.4 |
119.7 |
-41.7 |
-25.8 |
$21,270 |
|
|
Word processors and typists |
43-9022 |
104.4 |
78.2 |
-26.2 |
-25.1 |
$35,270 |
|
|
Fabric and apparel patternmakers |
51-6092 |
6.5 |
4.9 |
-1.6 |
-25.0 |
$38,650 |
|
|
Data entry keyers |
43-9021 |
220.3 |
166.1 |
-54.2 |
-24.6 |
$28,010 |
|
|
Textile knitting and weaving machine setters, operators, and tenders |
51-6063 |
21.9 |
16.5 |
-5.4 |
-24.5 |
$26,540 |
|
|
Postmasters and mail superintendents |
11-9131 |
23.0 |
17.4 |
-5.6 |
-24.2 |
$63,050 |
|
|
Textile bleaching and dyeing machine operators and tenders |
51-6061 |
11.4 |
8.6 |
-2.7 |
-24.0 |
$24,210 |
|
|
Animal breeders |
45-2021 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
-0.3 |
-23.4 |
$34,250 |
|
|
Drilling and boring machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic |
51-4032 |
20.9 |
16.2 |
-4.7 |
-22.5 |
$33,940 |
|
|
Textile winding, twisting, and drawing out machine setters, operators, and tenders |
51-6064 |
27.5 |
21.8 |
-5.6 |
-20.5 |
$25,850 |
|
|
Farmers, ranchers, and other agricultural managers |
11-9013 |
930.6 |
750.7 |
-179.9 |
-19.3 |
$69,300 |
|
|
Meter readers, utilities |
43-5041 |
40.2 |
32.5 |
-7.7 |
-19.2 |
$35,940 |
|
|
Pourers and casters, metal |
51-4052 |
10.7 |
8.7 |
-2.0 |
-18.7 |
$34,060 |
|
|
Computer operators |
43-9011 |
74.6 |
62.0 |
-12.7 |
-17.0 |
$38,390 |
|
|
Foundry mold and coremakers |
51-4071 |
12.4 |
10.4 |
-2.0 |
-16.2 |
$30,540 |
|
|
Extruding and drawing machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic |
51-4021 |
74.9 |
63.0 |
-11.9 |
-15.9 |
$32,330 |
|
|
Molding, coremaking, and casting machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic |
51-4072 |
125.0 |
105.8 |
-19.2 |
-15.4 |
$28,630 |
|
|
Door-to-door sales workers, news and street vendors, and related workers |
41-9091 |
92.7 |
78.5 |
-14.2 |
-15.3 |
$21,470 |
|
|
Cutters and trimmers, hand |
51-9031 |
14.2 |
12.1 |
-2.2 |
-15.3 |
$24,530 |
|
|
Manufactured building and mobile home installers |
49-9095 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
-0.8 |
-15.1 |
$28,080 |
|
|
Footnotes: |
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